3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 · Ullern vs Nordstrand
Likeliest: Ullern win · 56%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ullern56%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Nordstrand23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.3 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ullern
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Bærum SK (A)1-2
- Oct 10 · v Grei (H)0-2
- Oct 3 · at KFUM Oslo II (A)3-1
- Sep 26 · at Heming (A)0-3
- Sep 19 · v Vålerenga IF II (H)2-1
Nordstrand
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v Heming (H)0-2
- Oct 10 · at Gamle Oslo FK (A)0-1
- Oct 3 · v Vålerenga IF II (H)0-3
- Sep 26 · at Asker (A)0-1
- Sep 19 · v Lokomotiv Oslo (H)5-0
| Last 10 games | Ullern | Nordstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-4 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.