Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Thu, Oct 22 · 18:00 · Unión Santa Fe Reserve vs Barracas Central Reserve
Likeliest: Unión Santa Fe Reserve win · 65%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 65% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Unión Santa Fe Reserve65%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Barracas Central Reserve11%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 89% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 35% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 85% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 0.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Unión Santa Fe Reserve
WinDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 15 · at Talleres de Córdoba Reserve (A)0-3
- Oct 6 · v Banfield Reserve (H)5-0
- Sep 30 · at Rosario Central Reserve (A)0-2
- Sep 25 · at Colón Reserve (A)0-0
- Sep 16 · v Tigre Reserve (H)5-1
Barracas Central Reserve
WinLossDrawDrawDraw
- Oct 15 · v Atlético Tucumán Reserve (H)1-1
- Oct 8 · at Godoy Cruz Reserve (A)0-0
- Oct 1 · v Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve (H)0-0
- Sep 24 · at CD Riestra Reserve (A)0-3
- Sep 17 · v Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Unión Santa Fe Reserve | Barracas Central Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-0 | 0-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.