Superliga (Romania) · Mon, Sep 7 · 17:30 · Universitatea Craiova vs FC Universitatea Cluj
Likeliest: Universitatea Craiova win · 71%
A 71% home win. The market says 58%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Universitatea Craiova71%58%+14
OursMarket
Draw17%23%−6
OursMarket
FC Universitatea Cluj12%19%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 56% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 54% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 88% | 81% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 29% | 42% | −14 |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | 77% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 86% | 75% | +11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Universitatea Craiova
DrawDrawWinLossDraw
- Aug 31 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-1
- Aug 27 · at FC Ararat-Armenia (A)0-1
- Aug 23 · v FC Voluntari (H)3-1
- Aug 20 · v FC Ararat-Armenia (H)1-1
- Aug 16 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-1
FC Universitatea Cluj
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Aug 28 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
- Aug 17 · v UTA Arad (H)2-1
- Aug 3 · v FC Botoșani (H)2-1
- Jul 30 · at SK Brann (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Universitatea Craiova | FC Universitatea Cluj |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.