NWSL (USA) · Sat, Oct 17 · 22:30 · Utah Royals FC vs Kansas City Current
Likeliest: Kansas City Current win · 50%
Likely score: 1–2
We make it 66% for both teams to score. The market says 56%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Utah Royals FC24%28%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
Kansas City Current50%48%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 59% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 66% | 56% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 76% | 72% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | 37% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 2.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Utah Royals FC
LossWinLossWinDraw
- Oct 3 · at Racing Louisville (A)1-1
- Sep 27 · v North Carolina Courage (H)2-1
- Sep 20 · v Angel City FC (H)0-3
- Sep 13 · at Houston Dash (A)1-0
- Sep 5 · v Boston Legacy FC (H)1-2
Kansas City Current
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 3 · v Bay FC (H)5-1
- Sep 26 · v Denver Summit FC (H)4-1
- Sep 19 · at San Diego Wave FC (A)0-2
- Sep 12 · v Orlando Pride (H)2-2
- Sep 5 · at Bay FC (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Utah Royals FC | Kansas City Current |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-4 | 2-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.