Copa Del Rey (Spain) · Thu, Feb 6 · 20:30 · Valencia vs FC Barcelona
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Valencia25%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
FC Barcelona51%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Valencia
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Feb 2 · v Celta de Vigo (H)2-1
- Jan 26 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-7
- Jan 19 · v Real Sociedad (H)1-0
- Jan 14 · at Ourense CF (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
FC Barcelona
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Feb 2 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-0
- Jan 29 · v Atalanta (H)2-2
- Jan 26 · v Valencia (H)7-1
- Jan 21 · at Benfica (A)5-4
- Jan 18 · at Getafe (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Valencia | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-2 | 5-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.