La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 9 · 17:30 · Valencia vs Real Betis
Likeliest: Valencia win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Valencia44%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Real Betis31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Valencia
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Nov 1 · at Real Madrid (A)0-4
- Oct 28 · at Maracena (A)5-0
- Oct 25 · v Villarreal (H)0-2
- Oct 20 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)0-0
- Oct 4 · at Girona (A)1-2
Real Betis
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Nov 6 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)2-0
- Nov 2 · v Mallorca (H)3-0
- Oct 30 · at Palma del Río (A)7-1
- Oct 27 · v Atlético Madrid (H)0-2
- Oct 23 · at Genk (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Valencia | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 3-6-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.