La Liga (Spain) · Fri, Jan 3 · 20:00 · Valencia vs Real Madrid
Likeliest: Real Madrid win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Valencia28%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Real Madrid48%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 37% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.