La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Jan 19 · 20:00 · Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Likeliest: Valencia win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Valencia45%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Real Sociedad28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Valencia
LossWinDrawWin
- Jan 14 · at Ourense CF (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Jan 7 · at Eldense (A)2-0
- Jan 3 · v Real Madrid (H)1-2
Real Sociedad
WinWinWin
- Jan 16 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)3-1
- Jan 13 · v Villarreal (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · at Ponferradina (A)2-0