Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Thu, Sep 24 · 02:00 · Vancouver FC vs York United FC
Likeliest: Vancouver FC win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Vancouver FC64%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
York United FC17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 80% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Vancouver FC
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Sep 20 · at Pacific FC (A)1-1
- Sep 13 · at York United FC (A)1-3
- Sep 6 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)3-2
- Aug 29 · at Cavalry FC (A)0-1
- Aug 22 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)0-1
York United FC
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Sep 20 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)1-4
- Sep 13 · v Vancouver FC (H)3-1
- Sep 9 · v Pacific FC (H)3-3
- Sep 5 · at Forge FC (A)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Vancouver FC | York United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-0 | 0-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.