3rd Division, Group 3 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · Varegg vs Førde
Likeliest: Varegg win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Varegg47%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Førde26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Varegg
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Oct 19 · at Asane Fotball 2 (A)1-3
- Oct 10 · v Stord (H)2-3
- Oct 3 · at SK Brann II (A)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Os TF (H)4-2
- Sep 19 · at Gneist (A)2-2
Førde
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v Djerv 1919 (H)1-3
- Oct 10 · at Austevoll (A)2-3
- Oct 3 · v Fyllingsdalen (H)6-2
- Sep 26 · at Asane Fotball 2 (A)2-2
- Sep 19 · v Fana (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Varegg | Førde |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-3 | 1-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.