3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Fri, Oct 23 · 17:00 · Varhaug vs Haugesund II
Likeliest: Varhaug win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Varhaug52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Haugesund II23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Varhaug
DrawDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 17 · at Vindbjart (A)4-3
- Oct 10 · v Madla (H)1-3
- Oct 3 · at Våg FK (A)1-4
- Sep 25 · v Staal Jørpeland (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Flekkerøy (A)1-1
Haugesund II
DrawLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v FK Mandalskameratene (H)3-4
- Oct 12 · v Åkra (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Stabæk Fotball II (A)1-4
- Sep 28 · v Hinna (H)2-4
- Sep 21 · at Madla (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Varhaug | Haugesund II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.