Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 22 · 14:00 · Venezia vs Lazio
Likeliest: Venezia win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Venezia41%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Lazio30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Venezia
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Feb 17 · at Genoa (A)0-2
- Feb 9 · v Roma (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Udinese (A)2-3
- Jan 27 · v Hellas Verona (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Parma (A)1-1
Lazio
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Feb 15 · v Napoli (H)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Monza (H)5-1
- Feb 3 · at Cagliari (A)2-1
- Jan 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-1
- Jan 26 · v Fiorentina (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Venezia | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-3-4 | 4-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 11% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.