Premier League (Ukraine) · Sun, Sep 6 · 12:30 · Veres Rivne vs Zoria Luhansk
Likeliest: Zoria Luhansk win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. The market says 22%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Veres Rivne36%39%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%39%−13
OursMarket
Zoria Luhansk38%22%+16
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 51% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 78% | −16 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 61% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 61% | +13 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | 64% | −15 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Veres Rivne
LossLossLossDrawDraw
- Aug 30 · at LNZ Cherkasy (A)0-0
- Aug 14 · at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi (A)0-0
- Aug 9 · v Dynamo Kyiv (H)1-2
- Aug 1 · at Metalist 1925 (A)0-1
- May 24 · v Metalist 1925 (H)0-1
Zoria Luhansk
WinLossWinLoss
- Aug 31 · v Metalist 1925 (H)0-3
- Aug 17 · at Polissya Zhytomyr (A)2-1
- Aug 9 · v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih (H)1-3
- Jul 31 · v Kolos Kovalivka (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Veres Rivne | Zoria Luhansk |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-3 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 0.2 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | — |
| Both teams scored | 20% | — |
| Clean sheets | 40% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.