Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 1 · 14:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

    Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 52%

    A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    VfB Stuttgart52%——
    OursMarket
    Draw23%——
    OursMarket
    Borussia Mönchengladbach25%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals58%——
    Double chance 1X75%——
    Double chance X247%——
    Double chance 1277%——
    Draw no bet (home)68%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    VfB Stuttgart
    WinWinWinLossLoss
    • Jan 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
    • Jan 25 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
    • Jan 21 · at Slovan Bratislava (A)3-1
    • Jan 18 · v SC Freiburg (H)4-0
    • Jan 15 · v RB Leipzig (H)2-1
    Borussia Mönchengladbach
    LossLossLossWin
    • Jan 25 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)3-0
    • Jan 18 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-3
    • Jan 14 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)1-5
    • Jan 11 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-1
    Last 10 gamesVfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
    Won-drawn-lost4-0-2—
    Goals scored a game1.8—
    Goals conceded a game1.3—
    Over 2.5 goals67%—
    Both teams scored50%—
    Clean sheets33%—
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    VfB Stuttgart form·Borussia Mönchengladbach form·Head-to-head record

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