Bundesliga (Germany) · Tue, Jan 13 · 17:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. The market says 53%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart56%53%+2
OursMarket
Draw22%24%−2
OursMarket
Eintracht Frankfurt23%23%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 63% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 63% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 77% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 47% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 76% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 70% | +1 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LossWinWinDrawWin
- Jan 10 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)4-1
- Dec 20 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)0-0
- Dec 14 · at Werder Bremen (A)4-0
- Dec 11 · v Maccabi Tel Aviv (H)4-1
- Dec 6 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-5
Eintracht Frankfurt
LossLossWinDrawDraw
- Jan 9 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)3-3
- Dec 20 · at Hamburger SV (A)1-1
- Dec 13 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-0
- Dec 9 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-2
- Dec 6 · at RB Leipzig (A)0-6
| Last 10 games | VfB Stuttgart | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
VfB Stuttgart form·Eintracht Frankfurt form·Head-to-head record