DFB Pokal (Germany) · Tue, Feb 4 · 19:45 · VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart53%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
FC Augsburg24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Jan 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
- Jan 25 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
- Jan 21 · at Slovan Bratislava (A)3-1
- Jan 18 · v SC Freiburg (H)4-0
FC Augsburg
LossWinWinWinDraw
- Feb 1 · at St. Pauli (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Heidenheim (H)2-1
- Jan 19 · at Werder Bremen (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at FC Union Berlin (A)2-0
- Jan 12 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | VfB Stuttgart | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-3 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.