Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Nov 9 · 16:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart54%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
FC Augsburg20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LossWinWinLossWin
- Nov 6 · v Feyenoord (H)2-0
- Nov 1 · at RB Leipzig (A)1-3
- Oct 29 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Fenerbahçe (A)0-1
FC Augsburg
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 31 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)0-1
- Oct 28 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-6
- Oct 18 · at FC Köln (A)1-1
- Oct 4 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | VfB Stuttgart | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-3 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-0-2 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.