Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Feb 28 · 19:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart31%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
FC Bayern München41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LossWinWinLossDraw
- Feb 23 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-1
- Feb 15 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)2-1
- Feb 4 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
FC Bayern München
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Feb 23 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)4-0
- Feb 18 · v Celtic (H)1-1
- Feb 15 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)0-0
- Feb 12 · at Celtic (A)2-1
- Feb 7 · v Werder Bremen (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | VfB Stuttgart | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-3 | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
VfB Stuttgart form·FC Bayern München form·Head-to-head record