Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Jan 18 · 14:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart45%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
SC Freiburg31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
WinWin
- Jan 15 · v RB Leipzig (H)2-1
- Jan 12 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-0
SC Freiburg
WinLoss
- Jan 14 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1-4
- Jan 11 · v Holstein Kiel (H)3-2