Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 15 · 14:30 · VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfB Stuttgart46%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
VfL Wolfsburg31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LossLossLossWinWin
- Feb 8 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)2-1
- Feb 4 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Jan 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
- Jan 25 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
VfL Wolfsburg
WinLossDrawDrawDraw
- Feb 8 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)0-0
- Feb 2 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-2
- Jan 18 · at FC Bayern München (A)2-3
- Jan 14 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)5-1
| Last 10 games | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-3 | 2-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.