2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Apr 12 · 11:30 · VfL Bochum 1848 vs Eintracht Braunschweig
Likeliest: VfL Bochum 1848 win · 49%
We make it 49% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 43%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
VfL Bochum 184849%52%−3
OursMarket
Draw24%25%0
OursMarket
Eintracht Braunschweig27%23%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 57% | −6 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 58% | −7 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 48% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 69% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfL Bochum 1848
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Apr 4 · at Magdeburg (A)1-4
- Mar 22 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-3
- Mar 14 · at Hertha BSC (A)1-1
- Mar 7 · v Kaiserslautern (H)3-2
- Feb 27 · at Fortuna Düsseldorf (A)1-2
Eintracht Braunschweig
LossDrawWinLossDraw
- Apr 5 · v Nürnberg (H)1-1
- Mar 20 · at Hannover 96 (A)0-1
- Mar 14 · v Fortuna Düsseldorf (H)1-0
- Mar 7 · at Paderborn (A)1-1
- Mar 1 · v Preußen Münster (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | VfL Bochum 1848 | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.