2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Aug 8 · 18:30 · VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Likeliest: VfL Wolfsburg win · 44%
A 31% away win. The market says 19%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
VfL Wolfsburg44%59%−15
OursMarket
Draw25%22%+3
OursMarket
1. FC Kaiserslautern31%19%+11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 61% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 58% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 81% | −11 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 41% | +15 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 75% | −16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfL Wolfsburg
DrawDrawLossWinDraw
- May 25 · at SC Paderborn 07 (A)1-1
- May 16 · at St. Pauli (A)3-1
- May 9 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-1
- May 3 · at SC Freiburg (A)1-1
- Apr 25 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)0-0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
LossLossLossWinWin
- May 17 · at Magdeburg (A)1-0
- May 8 · v DSC Arminia Bielefeld (H)2-0
- May 2 · at Dynamo Dresden (A)0-1
- Apr 24 · v Eintracht Braunschweig (H)0-2
- Apr 17 · at Holstein Kiel (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | VfL Wolfsburg | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-7 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.