Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:30 · VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Likeliest: VfL Wolfsburg win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfL Wolfsburg39%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Bayer 04 Leverkusen36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfL Wolfsburg
WinWinLossDrawDraw
- Feb 2 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-2
- Jan 18 · at FC Bayern München (A)2-3
- Jan 14 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)5-1
- Jan 11 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Feb 2 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)3-1
- Jan 29 · v Sparta Praha (H)2-0
- Jan 25 · at RB Leipzig (A)2-2
- Jan 21 · at Atlético Madrid (A)1-2
- Jan 18 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | VfL Wolfsburg | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-1 | 5-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
VfL Wolfsburg form·Bayer 04 Leverkusen form·Head-to-head record