Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Mar 8 · 14:30 · VfL Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli
Likeliest: VfL Wolfsburg win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfL Wolfsburg50%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
St. Pauli24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfL Wolfsburg
DrawWinDrawLossWin
- Mar 1 · at Werder Bremen (A)2-1
- Feb 26 · at RB Leipzig (A)0-1
- Feb 22 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)1-1
- Feb 15 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)0-0
St. Pauli
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Mar 1 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)0-2
- Feb 22 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
- Feb 15 · v SC Freiburg (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at RB Leipzig (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | VfL Wolfsburg | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 2-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 11% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.