Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Nov 2 · 16:30 · VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
Likeliest: VfL Wolfsburg win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
VfL Wolfsburg44%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
TSG Hoffenheim29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
VfL Wolfsburg
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 28 · v Holstein Kiel (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · at Hamburger SV (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-3
- Oct 4 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-3
- Sep 27 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-1
TSG Hoffenheim
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Heidenheim (H)3-1
- Oct 19 · at St. Pauli (A)3-0
- Oct 3 · v FC Köln (H)0-1
- Sep 28 · at SC Freiburg (A)1-1
- Sep 20 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-4
| Last 10 games | VfL Wolfsburg | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-4-6 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.