Champions League (Europe) · Tue, Oct 13 · 19:00 · Viking FK vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 91%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 91% for the away win. The market says 87%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Viking FK3%5%−2
OursMarket
Draw6%8%−2
OursMarket
FC Bayern München91%87%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% | 82% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 9% | 13% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 97% | 95% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 94% | 92% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 3% | 5% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Viking FK
LossWinWinWinWin
- Oct 9 · at SK Brann (A)2-0
- Oct 1 · at Madla (A)3-0
- Sep 20 · v Lillestrøm SK (H)3-0
- Sep 13 · v Kristiansund BK (H)8-1
- Sep 9 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)1-3
FC Bayern München
DrawWinWinWinDraw
- Oct 10 · at FC Augsburg (A)2-2
- Sep 18 · v 1. FC Union Berlin (H)7-0
- Sep 13 · at SV 07 Elversberg (A)2-1
- Sep 10 · v Bodø/Glimt (H)5-0
- Sep 5 · at FC Schalke 04 (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Viking FK | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 8-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.