La Liga (Spain) · Mon, Jan 20 · 20:00 · Villarreal vs Mallorca
Likeliest: Villarreal win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Villarreal59%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Mallorca18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Villarreal
Loss
- Jan 13 · at Real Sociedad (A)0-1
Mallorca
Loss
- Jan 3 · at Pontevedra (A)0-3