Premier League (Egypt) · Tue, Oct 20 · 15:00 · Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt
Likeliest: National Bank of Egypt win · 39%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. The market says 38%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wadi Degla29%32%−3
OursMarket
Draw33%30%+2
OursMarket
National Bank of Egypt39%38%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 41% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 46% | 48% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 68% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 70% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wadi Degla
WinDrawLossLossDraw
- Oct 13 · at Petrojet (A)2-2
- Sep 15 · v Al-Mokawloon (H)0-2
- Sep 9 · at Modern Sport FC (A)1-2
- Sep 1 · v Canal SC (H)0-0
- Aug 28 · at ENPPI (A)3-1
National Bank of Egypt
LossWinWinLossWin
- Oct 13 · v Tala'ea El-Gaish (H)3-0
- Sep 14 · at Ceramica Cleopatra (A)0-2
- Sep 7 · v Ghazl El Mahalla (H)3-1
- Aug 31 · at Asyut Petroleum (A)1-0
- Aug 26 · v Zamalek SC (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Wadi Degla | National Bank of Egypt |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.