Premier League (Egypt) · Fri, Aug 21 · 14:00 · Wadi Degla vs ZED FC
Likeliest: Wadi Degla win · 48%
We make it 53% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 38%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wadi Degla48%41%+6
OursMarket
Draw25%31%−6
OursMarket
ZED FC27%27%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 38% | +15 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 45% | +13 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 59% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 69% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 60% | +4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wadi Degla
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- May 28 · at El Geish (A)2-0
- May 28 · at Tala'ea El-Gaish (A)2-0
- May 22 · v ZED FC (H)2-2
- May 18 · at Arab Contractors FC (A)1-1
- May 12 · v Ismaily (H)2-1
ZED FC
WinDrawDrawDrawDraw
- May 29 · v Ismailia Electricity Club (H)1-1
- May 29 · v Kahraba Ismailia (H)1-1
- May 22 · at Wadi Degla (A)2-2
- May 17 · at Ismaily (A)0-0
- May 13 · v Ghazl El Mehalla (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Wadi Degla | ZED FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.