Championship (England) · Fri, Nov 7 · 20:00 · Watford vs Bristol City
Likeliest: Watford win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Watford43%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Bristol City30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Watford
LossWinLossWinDraw
- Nov 4 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-1
- Nov 1 · v Middlesbrough (H)3-0
- Oct 25 · at Coventry City (A)1-3
- Oct 22 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at Sheffield United (A)0-1
Bristol City
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Nov 4 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)0-1
- Nov 1 · at Stoke City (A)1-5
- Oct 25 · v Birmingham City (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Southampton (H)3-1
- Oct 18 · at Norwich City (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Watford | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.