Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Watford vs Middlesbrough
Likeliest: Watford win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Watford40%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Middlesbrough33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Watford
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Oct 25 · at Coventry City (A)1-3
- Oct 22 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at Sheffield United (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v Oxford United (H)2-1
- Oct 1 · at Portsmouth (A)2-2
Middlesbrough
DrawLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 25 · v Wrexham (H)1-1
- Oct 22 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-0
- Oct 17 · v Ipswich Town (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Portsmouth (A)0-1
- Sep 30 · v Stoke City (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Watford | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.