Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 12:30 · Watford vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Watford win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Watford49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Norwich City24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Watford
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Jan 25 · at Coventry City (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v Preston North End (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at Derby County (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
- Jan 9 · at Fulham (A)1-4
Norwich City
WinLossLossLossWin
- Jan 25 · v Swansea City (H)5-1
- Jan 22 · at Leeds United (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Sheffield United (A)0-2
- Jan 11 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-4
- Jan 4 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Watford | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-5 | 3-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.