Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Nov 7 · 19:30 · Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg
Likeliest: Werder Bremen win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Werder Bremen52%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
VfL Wolfsburg25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Werder Bremen
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- Nov 1 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)1-1
- Oct 24 · v FC Union Berlin (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Heidenheim (A)2-2
- Oct 4 · v St. Pauli (H)1-0
- Sep 26 · at FC Bayern München (A)0-4
VfL Wolfsburg
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Nov 2 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)2-3
- Oct 28 · v Holstein Kiel (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · at Hamburger SV (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-3
- Oct 4 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Werder Bremen | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.