Championship (England) · Sat, Oct 17 · 14:00 · West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 42%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. The market says 49%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion42%49%−7
OursMarket
Draw39%27%+12
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers19%24%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 49% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | 76% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 51% | +7 |
| Double chance 12 | 61% | 73% | −12 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 68% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 13 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Oct 10 · v Birmingham City (H)0-1
- Sep 20 · at Wolverhampton (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
- Sep 9 · at Derby County (A)1-0
Blackburn Rovers
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 13 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
- Sep 19 · at Portsmouth (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v Millwall (H)3-1
- Sep 8 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Blackburn Rovers form·Head-to-head record