Championship (England) · Fri, Dec 26 · 15:00 · West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 41%
A 33% away win. The market says 27%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion41%44%−4
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−2
OursMarket
Bristol City33%27%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 52% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 73% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | 56% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | 62% | −7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Dec 20 · at Hull City (A)0-1
- Dec 12 · v Sheffield United (H)2-0
- Dec 9 · at Southampton (A)2-3
- Dec 6 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-3
- Nov 29 · v Swansea City (H)3-2
Bristol City
WinLossDrawLossWin
- Dec 20 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-0
- Dec 13 · at Coventry City (A)0-1
- Dec 10 · v Leicester City (H)2-2
- Dec 6 · v Millwall (H)0-1
- Nov 29 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Bristol City form·Head-to-head record