Championship (England) · Tue, Feb 24 · 19:45 · West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 46%
We make it 58% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 40%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion46%47%−1
OursMarket
Draw26%29%−3
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic28%24%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 40% | +18 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 45% | +15 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 76% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 71% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 66% | −4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
LossDrawDrawLossLoss
- Feb 21 · v Coventry City (H)0-2
- Feb 14 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Feb 10 · at Birmingham City (A)0-0
- Feb 7 · v Stoke City (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Portsmouth (A)0-3
Charlton Athletic
WinDrawWinLossDraw
- Feb 21 · at Southampton (A)1-1
- Feb 17 · v Portsmouth (H)1-3
- Feb 11 · v Stoke City (H)1-0
- Feb 6 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-6 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Charlton Athletic form·Head-to-head record