Championship (England) · Wed, Sep 2 · 18:45 · West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 47%
We make it 59% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 46%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion47%54%−7
OursMarket
Draw25%26%0
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic28%20%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 46% | +13 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 46% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 80% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 46% | +7 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 73% | −10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Aug 29 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
- Aug 26 · at Newcastle United (A)2-3
- Aug 23 · v Burnley (H)3-1
- Aug 15 · at Norwich City (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Rotherham United (A)4-1
Charlton Athletic
WinWinWinLossWin
- Aug 29 · v Preston North End (H)1-0
- Aug 26 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-5
- Aug 22 · at West Ham United (A)2-1
- Aug 15 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Cheltenham Town (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-6-1 | 3-5-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Charlton Athletic form·Head-to-head record