Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 21 · 12:30 · West Bromwich Albion vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 43%
We make it 58% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 50%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion33%20%+13
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−3
OursMarket
Coventry City43%54%−11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 54% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 46% | +11 |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | 80% | −13 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 44% | 27% | +17 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
DrawLossDrawDrawLoss
- Feb 14 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Feb 10 · at Birmingham City (A)0-0
- Feb 7 · v Stoke City (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Portsmouth (A)0-3
- Jan 23 · at Derby County (A)1-1
Coventry City
WinLossLossDrawWin
- Feb 16 · v Middlesbrough (H)3-1
- Feb 7 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Norwich City (A)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Millwall (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-6 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Coventry City form·Head-to-head record