Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 14 · 15:00 · West Bromwich Albion vs Hull City
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 43%
We make it 57% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion43%43%0
OursMarket
Draw25%28%−4
OursMarket
Hull City33%29%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 47% | +10 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 52% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 71% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 60% | −3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
LossDrawLossDrawDraw
- Mar 11 · v Southampton (H)1-1
- Mar 7 · at Sheffield United (A)1-1
- Feb 28 · at Oxford United (A)1-2
- Feb 24 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Feb 21 · v Coventry City (H)0-2
Hull City
WinWinLossLossWin
- Mar 10 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Mar 7 · v Millwall (H)1-3
- Mar 3 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-1
- Feb 28 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Feb 24 · v Derby County (H)4-2
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-6-4 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 8-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Hull City form·Head-to-head record