Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 25 · 11:30 · West Bromwich Albion vs Ipswich Town
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 49%
A 49% home win. The market says 29%.
20 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion49%29%+20
OursMarket
Draw24%28%−3
OursMarket
Ipswich Town27%44%−17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 47% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 52% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 56% | +17 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 71% | −20 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 39% | +25 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
DrawDrawDrawWinWin
- Apr 21 · v Watford (H)3-0
- Apr 18 · at Preston North End (A)2-0
- Apr 10 · v Millwall (H)0-0
- Apr 6 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-0
- Apr 3 · v Wrexham (H)2-2
Ipswich Town
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Apr 22 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
- Apr 19 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-2
- Apr 14 · at Portsmouth (A)0-2
- Apr 11 · at Norwich City (A)2-0
- Apr 6 · v Birmingham City (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-5-3 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.