Championship (England) · Tue, Jan 20 · 19:45 · West Bromwich Albion vs Norwich City
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 51%
We make it 56% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 50%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion51%48%+3
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−2
OursMarket
Norwich City25%26%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 52% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 65% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Jan 16 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-3
- Jan 11 · at Swansea City (A)2-2
- Jan 5 · at Leicester City (A)1-2
- Jan 1 · at Swansea City (A)0-1
- Dec 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)2-1
Norwich City
LossWinLossWinWin
- Jan 17 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Walsall (H)5-1
- Jan 4 · v Stoke City (H)0-2
- Jan 1 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)2-1
- Dec 29 · v Watford (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Norwich City form·Head-to-head record