Championship (England) · Mon, Dec 29 · 19:45 · West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 54%
A 54% home win. The market says 46%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion54%46%+8
OursMarket
Draw24%28%−4
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers22%26%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 45% | +1 |
| Both teams score | 45% | 50% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 74% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 54% | −8 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 64% | +7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Dec 26 · v Bristol City (H)1-2
- Dec 20 · at Hull City (A)0-1
- Dec 12 · v Sheffield United (H)2-0
- Dec 9 · at Southampton (A)2-3
- Dec 6 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-3
Queens Park Rangers
WinWinLossWinDraw
- Dec 26 · at Portsmouth (A)1-1
- Dec 20 · v Leicester City (H)4-1
- Dec 13 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
- Dec 9 · v Birmingham City (H)2-1
- Dec 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record