Championship (England) · Sat, Sep 12 · 11:30 · West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. The market says 45%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion45%45%−1
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers29%29%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Sep 9 · at Derby County (A)1-0
- Sep 5 · v Watford (H)1-0
- Sep 2 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Aug 29 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
- Aug 26 · at Newcastle United (A)2-3
Queens Park Rangers
DrawWinWinLossDraw
- Sep 9 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Sep 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-6-0 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record