Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 29 · 15:00 · West Bromwich Albion vs Swansea City
Likeliest: Swansea City win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. The market says 21%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Bromwich Albion31%52%−21
OursMarket
Draw26%27%−1
OursMarket
Swansea City43%21%+23
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 44% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 79% | −23 |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | 48% | +21 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 42% | 72% | −30 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Bromwich Albion
DrawLossWinLossDraw
- Nov 26 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
- Nov 22 · at Coventry City (A)2-3
- Nov 8 · v Oxford United (H)2-1
- Nov 4 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-1
- Nov 1 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-0
Swansea City
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Nov 25 · v Derby County (H)1-2
- Nov 22 · at Bristol City (A)0-3
- Nov 8 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-4
- Nov 5 · at Preston North End (A)1-2
- Nov 1 · at Charlton Athletic (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | West Bromwich Albion | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Bromwich Albion form·Swansea City form·Head-to-head record