Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 15:00 · West Ham United vs Burnley
Likeliest: Burnley win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
West Ham United34%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Burnley40%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
DrawLossLossLossWin
- Nov 2 · v Newcastle United (H)3-1
- Oct 24 · at Leeds United (A)1-2
- Oct 20 · v Brentford (H)0-2
- Oct 4 · at Arsenal (A)0-2
- Sep 29 · at Everton (A)1-1
Burnley
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Nov 1 · v Arsenal (H)0-2
- Oct 26 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)3-2
- Oct 18 · v Leeds United (H)2-0
- Oct 5 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Manchester City (A)1-5
| Last 10 games | West Ham United | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-3-6 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.