Championship (England) · Sat, Aug 22 · 14:00 · West Ham United vs Charlton Athletic
Likeliest: West Ham United win · 47%
A 28% away win. The market says 11%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Ham United47%70%−23
OursMarket
Draw25%19%+6
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic28%11%+17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 57% | +10 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 49% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 89% | −17 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 30% | +23 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 81% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 86% | −24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Aug 16 · at Burnley (A)2-2
- Aug 8 · v Portsmouth (H)3-1
- May 24 · v Leeds United (H)3-0
- May 17 · at Newcastle United (A)1-3
- May 10 · v Arsenal (H)0-1
Charlton Athletic
LossWinLossWinWin
- Aug 15 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Cheltenham Town (A)3-1
- May 2 · at Swansea City (A)1-3
- Apr 25 · v Hull City (H)2-1
- Apr 22 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | West Ham United | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 3-5-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.