Women's Super League (England) · Sun, Sep 20 · 13:00 · West Ham United vs Everton
Likeliest: West Ham United win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. The market says 43%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Ham United42%43%−1
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
Everton30%30%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 57% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
LossWin
- Sep 12 · v London City Lionesses (H)2-1
- Sep 6 · at Tottenham FC (A)1-3
Everton
LossWin
- Sep 13 · v Charlton Athletic WFC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-1