Premier League (England) · Mon, Mar 10 · 20:00 · West Ham United vs Newcastle United
Likeliest: Newcastle United win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
West Ham United31%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Newcastle United43%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 42% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Feb 27 · v Leicester City (H)2-0
- Feb 22 · at Arsenal (A)1-0
- Feb 15 · v Brentford (H)0-1
- Feb 3 · at Chelsea (A)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Aston Villa (A)1-1
Newcastle United
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 26 · at Liverpool (A)0-2
- Feb 23 · v Nottingham Forest (H)4-3
- Feb 15 · at Manchester City (A)0-4
- Feb 8 · at Birmingham City (A)3-2
- Feb 5 · v Arsenal (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | West Ham United | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-5 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Ham United form·Newcastle United form·Head-to-head record