Championship (England) · Fri, Oct 9 · 19:00 · West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: West Ham United win · 63%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. The market says 61%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Ham United63%61%+2
OursMarket
Draw21%22%0
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers16%17%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | 83% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Sep 19 · at Millwall (A)2-2
- Sep 15 · v Fulham (H)2-3
- Sep 11 · v Wrexham (H)6-0
- Sep 8 · at Bolton Wanderers (A)3-2
- Sep 5 · v Derby County (H)3-0
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossDrawDrawDraw
- Sep 19 · v Preston North End (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Sep 9 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Sep 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Ham United form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record