Premier League (England) · Fri, Apr 10 · 19:00 · West Ham United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Likeliest: West Ham United win · 41%
A 34% away win. The market says 22%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
West Ham United41%53%−12
OursMarket
Draw25%25%−1
OursMarket
Wolverhampton Wanderers34%22%+12
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 52% | +1 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 55% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 78% | −12 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 47% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 71% | −16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
West Ham United
LossWinDrawLossDraw
- Apr 5 · v Leeds United (H)2-2
- Mar 22 · at Aston Villa (A)0-2
- Mar 14 · v Manchester City (H)1-1
- Mar 4 · at Fulham (A)1-0
- Feb 28 · at Liverpool (A)2-5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossWinWinLossDraw
- Mar 16 · at Brentford (A)2-2
- Mar 6 · v Liverpool (H)1-3
- Mar 3 · v Liverpool (H)2-1
- Feb 27 · v Aston Villa (H)2-0
- Feb 22 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | West Ham United | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-5-3 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
West Ham United form·Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Head-to-head record